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Old 05-01-2016   #21
Surrey Snow
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Default Re: Winter 2015 / 2016

Thank you Gareth, an excellent effort made on your phone.


Good to see the 528 Dam line well south of the UK.

SS
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Old 05-01-2016   #22
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Default Re: Winter 2015 / 2016

A quick calculation you could use to find it yourself would be

(1000-Surface pressure)+ 500hPa (figures to right of map)

So for example, over Surrey on that map we have

1000 - 995 (surface pressure) + 520 (500hpa)

= 525 dam

Cheers

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Old 06-01-2016   #23
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Default Re: Winter 2015 / 2016

Pretty much nailed on for a country wide cold spell ( probably lasting a week from about 12th to 19th ....perhaps longer.
The Arctic flood gates will open from the North. Could see temperatures in places below -10 c and snow.
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Old 06-01-2016   #24
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Default Re: Winter 2015 / 2016

http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn1801.gif

Who fancies a channel low.

Possible Coastal rain, but mainly a snow event across the south

I might even get some wintryness here in the channel, although it would be a very borderline event

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Old 06-01-2016   #25
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Default Re: Winter 2015 / 2016

GFS follows the channel low with a cold northerly feed http://www.wetterzentrale.de/pics/Rtavn2041.gif

Plenty of snow showers pushing NE to SW here,
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Old 06-01-2016   #26
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Default Re: Winter 2015 / 2016

Quote:
Originally Posted by SWWW View Post

Who fancies a channel low.

Me, me ........I do!


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Old 06-01-2016   #27
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Default Re: Winter 2015 / 2016

Incredible ECM tonight.

Builds the cold and intensifies it.

I don't wish to get too carried away, but signals are pointing towards a 'severe' cold snap approaching

cheers

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Old 06-01-2016   #28
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Default Re: Winter 2015 / 2016

Quote:
Originally Posted by SWWW View Post
Incredible ECM tonight.

Builds the cold and intensifies it.

I don't wish to get too carried away, but signals are pointing towards a 'severe' cold snap approaching

cheers

swww
agreed SWWW ......has the look of Dec 2010 about it ...doesnt it

( great model agreement tonight )
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Old 06-01-2016   #29
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Default Re: Winter 2015 / 2016

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agreed SWWW ......has the look of Dec 2010 about it ...doesnt it

( great model agreement tonight )

it does JS,

I cant believe that was 5 years ago already!!

Back in 2010 i lived at an altitude of 400m in the welsh valleys, now I live in a house with a veiw over the harbour in St Peter Port Guernsey, so if I want in on the action a 2010 repeat is what I need.

cheers

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Old 06-01-2016   #30
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Default Re: Winter 2015 / 2016

Your thoughts please gents!







SS
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