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Old 19-09-2014   #1
Aussie2005
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Default 'T-Rex' of winters in store for Canada: Old Farmer's Almanac

Brace yourself: the Old Farmer’s Almanac has revealed its predictions for Canada’s upcoming winter season, and it’s not great news.

After last winter’s seemingly never-ending wickedly cold weather, residents in much of the country can expect more of the same in the coming months.

“We’re looking at the T-Rex of winters,” Jack Burnett, editor of the Old Farmer’s Almanac, said on CTV’s Canada AM on Thursday.

“It’s going to be colder, it’s going to be snowier … it’s not pretty.”

According to the almanac, central Canada, in particular, is expected to experience winter’s nasty bite.

“From Calgary to Quebec, we’re going to be up to our neck,” Burnett said.

One of the few exceptions will be southwestern Ontario, which will be cold, but with below-normal snowfall.

Burnett said forecasts show that while Toronto and the surrounding region will experience a deep-freeze, it’s going to be drier this winter, with “fluffier snow.”

Atlantic Canada, meanwhile, is set for a milder, but wet winter season, according to the almanac.

‘Baby lamb’ of summers next year

It may seem far in the future, but warmer temperatures will return – eventually.

Summer in Canada is expected to be milder and wet, with hotter and drier temperatures concentrated in Western Canada.

“Nothing really spectacular in the summer,” Burnett said.

2015 predictions for Canada

Spring:

Near or slightly below normal temperatures across Canada
Precipitation below normal in Quebec, above normal in Ontario, near normal elsewhere

Summer:

Above-normal temperatures, everywhere except Vancouver Island
Above-normal rainfall in Maritimes westward through Prairies
Below normal in British Columbia

Fall:

Above-normal temperatures from the Maritimes westward through Ontario
Below-normal from Manitoba to the Pacific Ocean
Precipitation slightly above normal in Prairies, at or below elsewhere


Long history of forecasts

The Almanac has been foretelling weather forecasts for 223 years, and claim their predictions have an average accuracy rating of approximately 80 per cent. The predictions are derived from a secret formula devised in 1792 by the almanac’s founder, Robert B. Thomas.

“We do have the physical formula, but it’s long since been put into computer algorithms,” Burnett said.

The almanac employs meteorology, climatology, solar patterns, and historical weather conditions to make its predictions.

Dave Phillips of Environment Canada doesn’t quite buy the almanac’s prediction, though.

“We like to think ours are a little bit more scientifically based on ocean temperatures and sea and ice conditions,” Phillips said. “Our models are clearly not showing the doom and gloom that the Farmers’ Almanac is saying.”

Phillips said Environment Canada’s forecasts aren’t always right, but that their predictions are more realistic than the almanac.

“I don’t know where they’re coming from. They’re calling it almost the ‘winter from hell’ and even forecasting ‘fluffier snow’ – I mean, get with it. How can you possibly know the snow is going to be fluffier?”

Global temperatures rise

Canada may be set for a drop in the mercury, but average global temperatures spiked during the summer months. U.S. meteorologists said Thursday that May, June and August all set global records this year. The average worldwide temperature was more than 16 C in August, which broke a record set in 1998.

August was particularly hot in the Pacific and Indian oceans, and in Africa.

Phillips said the warm ocean temperatures generally mean a milder winter, and he thinks that will especially be the case in Western Canada this year. Though he said conditions become more difficult to predict as winter wears on, Phillips had no doubt about one thing.

“This winter is not going to be as long and cold as last year,” he said. “Even if it’s a normal winter, it will feel like a tropical heat wave compared to what we had to endure as Canadians last year.”


Read more: http://www.ctvnews.ca/canada/t-rex-o...#ixzz3DkpCV1MI
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Old 19-09-2014   #2
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Default Re: 'T-Rex' of winters in store for Canada: Old Farmer's Almanac

Great, the Canadians are gonna steal our bloody winter again?


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Old 20-09-2014   #3
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Default Re: 'T-Rex' of winters in store for Canada: Old Farmer's Almanac

Quote:
Originally Posted by Surrey Snow View Post
Great, the Canadians are gonna steal our bloody winter again?


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You can always take it up with Ron.
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Old 22-09-2014   #4
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Default Re: 'T-Rex' of winters in store for Canada: Old Farmer's Almanac

Love these predictions

For Atlantic Canada: milder but wet. This usually translates to more heavy wet snow and freezing rain, I'll take the colder winter with drier snow please.
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Old 22-09-2014   #5
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Default Re: 'T-Rex' of winters in store for Canada: Old Farmer's Almanac

Quote:
Originally Posted by Surrey Snow View Post
Great, the Canadians are gonna steal our bloody winter again?


SS
I'll give it back to you anytime

No matter what the predictions are, winter will happen one way or another. Last winter was more like winters here use to be, we had more extended cold weather than we have had for quite a few years, not really a lot more snow than normal, it just didn't melt off as often.
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